“The United States has never prioritized or failed to pay any obligation when due during a debt limit impasse. Despite the institutional risks and the lack of clear legal authority, we assume that Treasury will attempt to prioritize payments in a last-ditch effort to avoid default.”

American central banker and lawyer

Jerome Hayden “Jay” Powell is an American central banker and lawyer, born in 1953. He served as the 16th chair of the Federal Reserve from 2018 to 2026, and later remained on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Before entering public service, Powell worked in private practice as a lawyer and as an investment banker. His public record is tied to U.S. monetary policy and the leadership of the central bank, roles that place him at the center of questions about inflation, interest rates, and financial stability.