“Reality is far more vicious than Russian roulette. First, it delivers the fatal bullet rather infrequently, like a revolver that would have hundreds, even thousands of chambers instead of six. After a few dozen tries, one forgets about the existence of a bullet, under a numbing false sense of security. Second, unlike a well-defined precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality. One is capable of unwittingly playing Russian roulette - and calling it by some alternative “low risk” game.”

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About Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Books by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan

2005

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Antifragile

2012

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Fooled by randomness

2001

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Skin in the Game

2019

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The Bed of Procrustes

2016

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