“Markets work best when there's lots of information available and a historical track record to go on; they excel at predicting things like horse races, election outcomes, and box-office results. But they're bad at predicting things like who will be the next Supreme Court nominee, as that depends on the whim of the president.”

American journalist

James Michael Surowiecki is an American journalist known for his writing on business and finance. He was a staff writer at The New Yorker. At The New Yorker, he wrote a regular column called "The Financial Page," which focused on business and finance. His work is associated with clear, public-facing commentary on economic topics.