“There is no real correlation between how late or how early a field forms and the eventual nominee's success in the general election. Democrats, for example, won the presidency in both 1992 and 2008, even with a much later start in 1992.”

American journalist and data analyst

Harry Joe Enten is an American journalist and data analyst. He is the Chief Data Analyst for CNN and hosts CNN’s Margins of Error podcast. He previously worked as a senior political writer and analyst at FiveThirtyEight. He is often described as part of a newer wave of political journalists who rely on data-driven reporting rather than covering campaigns from the trail.