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Meaning
The quote says that people often act as if the past was easy to explain, even though the future cannot be predicted. It points out a mismatch between how uncertain the future is and how confident people can be when looking back at what already happened.
When It Was Said
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Who It Was Said To
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Historical Context
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Source
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Original Language & Translation
Originally said in English.
Did They Really Say It?
No source found on Wikiquote; the quote is listed as attributed to Daniel Kahneman.
Did You Know?
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About Daniel Kahneman
Israeli-American psychologist
Daniel Kahneman was an Israeli-American psychologist best known for his work on judgment and decision-making, and for his role in behavioral economics. He was awarded the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences with Vernon L. Smith. His research challenged the idea that people act as fully rational decision-makers, a core assumption in modern economic theory. He became known as the “grandfather of behavioral economics,” and his work is closely associated with how people think, choose, and judge under uncertainty.
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Reflections: more sayings
READ THE SOURCE
Books by Daniel Kahneman
Thinking, fast and slow
2011
Noise
2021
Choices, values, and frames
2000
Judgement under uncertainty
1981
Well-being
1998