“Whenever you try to pick market tops and bottoms, you are making a prediction. Guessing what stock is going to outperform the market is forecasting, as is selling a stock for no apparent reason. Indeed, nearly all capital decisions made by most people are unconscious predictions.”

American businessman and author

Barry Ritholtz is an American businessman and author. He is the founder and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and he first drew wider attention for warning about the risks in derivatives and mortgages before the subprime mortgage crisis. His work is rooted in financial planning and asset management. He is best known for commenting on market risk and the forces behind major financial disruptions, especially in the years leading up to the crisis.