A biography for Kenneth Fisherhasn’t been written yet.
“The latter part of bull markets are typically led by stocks that are seen then as high quality, but the ones that do best are the ones that weren't seen as such high quality before.”
“If some stock categories get too hot-and-pricey, mass supply is created via stock offerings to tap that cheap money - and, when overdone, drives it all down.”
“If you've taken Econ 101, you know that the quantity of money rises only when the banking system makes a net loan.”
“My firm has 25,000 high-net-worth clients. A typical account would be that of a couple aged 65 and 60 who need their money to last the rest of their lives, 25 to 35 years.”
“Over rolling long periods, U.S. and non-U.S. stocks tend to equalize.”
“Normally, if you have a huge category that leads a bear market all the way down to the bottom - like tech after 2000, or energy in the '80-'82 bear market - you get one quick pop, and then years of lag as we fight the old war.”
“Back in the '60s and '70s, data were scarce, and while analysts knew that companies with fat gross margins lagged those with thin gross margins early in bull markets - and overachieved in the later phases - they couldn't do much about it.”
“What is the most common investor mistake? Trading - getting in and getting out at all the wrong times, for all the wrong reasons.”
“The bubble, as investing phenomenon, has been well studied ever since the 17th-century tulip bulb frenzy. Its counterpart in bear markets is not well understood.”
“Long before folks fretted the demise of 'quantitative easing,' I fretted its existence. It proved the reverse of its image, an antistimulus, and we've done okay not because of it, but despite it.”
“Both cheap value stocks and more glamorous growth stocks can work well in a portfolio - if done right.”
“Fracking opens up vast tracts of the U.S. to exploitation by gas drillers. There's enough energy under our feet to last us for decades, maybe centuries.”
“People do dollar cost averaging because they have regret of making one big mistake. But the fact of the matter is that, mathematically, the market rises more of the time than it falls. It falls, but it rises more of the time than it falls.”
“The more you talk about investing problems, the worse you feel. Instead of complaining, it's better to do something.”
“Indeed, bull markets are fueled by successive waves of prior skeptics finally capitulating as their fears fade. Eventually, fear turns to euphoria, and that's the stuff of bubbles.”
“Normally, the market peaks before bad news emerges. That's what happened in 1929, and that's what happened in 2000.”
“Readers regularly ask what can go wrong but almost never what could positively surprise.”
“Anyone can see how if a feared tax hike doesn't happen, that's a positive factor. But even if tax hikes happen as feared, vast history tells me it doesn't have to have the big bad impact folks fear. And fear of a false factor is always bullish.”
“If you're 35, 45, or even 55 - you have a very long time horizon - 40 years or vastly more. That is you, and/or your spouse, are likely to live about that long, and you'll be investing the whole way.”
“A constant in my approach to investing: You should think politically but unconventionally.”